This work incorporates base year battery costs and breakdowns from (Ramasamy et al., 2022), which works from a bottom-up cost model. The bottom-up battery energy storage systems (BESS) model accounts for major components, including the LIB pack, inverter, and the balance of system (BOS) needed for the installation.
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Commercial Battery Storage. The 2022 ATB represents cost and performance for battery storage across a range of durations (1–8 hours). It represents only lithium-ion batteries (LIBs)—with nickel manganese cobalt (NMC) and lithium iron phosphate (LFP) chemistries—at this time, with LFP becoming the primary chemistry for stationary storage
The cost of commercial energy storage depends on factors such as the type of battery technology used, the size of the installation, and location. On average, lithium-ion batteries cost around $132 per kWh .
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Base year costs for commercial and industrial BESS are based on NREL''s bottom-up BESS cost model using the data and methodology of(Ramasamy et al., 2021), who estimated costs for a600-kWDCstand-alone BESS with 0.5–4.0 hours of storage. We use the same model and methodology but do not restrict the power or energy capacity of the BESS.(Ramasamy et al., 2021). assumed an inverter/storage ratio of 1.67 based on guidance from(Denholm et al., 2017). We adopt this assumption, too.
We also consider the installation of commercial BESS systems at varying levels of duration (Figure 1). Costs come from NREL''s bottom-up PV cost model(Ramasamy et al., 2021). As shown, the cost per kilowatt-hour reduces dramatically with additional levels of duration. Therefore, accurately estimating the needed duration in commercial applications is critical to determining the total system cost.
Available cost data and projections for distributed battery storage are very limited. Therefore, the battery cost and performance projections in the 2022 ATB are based on the same literature review as the utility-scale and residential battery cost projections. The projections are based on a literature review of 19 sources published in 2018 or 2019, as described by(Cole and Frazier, 2020).Three projections from 2020 to 2050 are developed for scenario modeling based on this literature.
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